NFL Playoff Simulator

The New York Times Upshot sports blog has a N.F.L. playoff simulator up. With 109 games left in the season, the Times reports that there remain roughly 9 quintillion ways the season could end. Pour a large cup of coffee and begin exploring them all.

N_F_L__Playoff_Simulator_-_The_New_York_Times

As for my home team, the simulator predicts a 41 percent chance of making the playoffs based on 189,000 simulations. After they lose today (as I predict they will) those odds will drop to 28 percent. But the simulator also tells me that the next two games of the season are essentially meaningless – if they win the last two games of the season, they’re nearly certainly in.

So I can relax today, which is nice.

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